Saturday, June 19, 2010

simulation: the last 5 minutes

It's human after all. It's become boring to always see the same names at the top of the rankings. I know you think "fine, they've got the best seats, but hey... I'm here too, don't forget me, I deserve love and admiration too". That's true and this is why PL simulation posts exist: to see you on the top of something.


Today's simulation is: what if matches were 85 minutes, instead of 90. What if the world was frozen during the famous last 5 minutes. What if there was no stolen points for lazy lucky bastards. oops, excuse my Anelka.

And here's what it would look like

Total PL2010 rank name 85 min last 5 min
85 minutes games #1 Antoine Basse 18 pts -4 pts

#2 Rodolphe de Leusse 16 pts -3 pts
After 24 matches #2 Antoine Stroh 16 pts -2 pts

#2 Tanguy Claquin 16 pts -2 pts

#5 Chris Burich 15 pts -2 pts

#5 Nicolas Esclatine 15 pts 0 pts

#5 Grégoire Profit 15 pts -2 pts

#5 Julien Budynek 15 pts -2 pts

#5 Karsten Hunold 15 pts -1 pts

#5 Laurent Queyssi 15 pts -3 pts

#11 Holger Gerwig 14 pts 0 pts

#12 Emmanuel Grizaud 13 pts -2 pts

#12 Maxime Pétesch 13 pts -3 pts

#12 Laurent Augusto 13 pts -2 pts

#15 Guillaume Yribarren 12 pts -3 pts

---- Baseline player 12 pts -1 pts

---- Mister O-O 12 pts -1 pts

#15 Hélène Fradin 12 pts -3 pts

#15 Pierre Boscq 12 pts -1 pts

#18 Jean-Philippe Favre 11 pts -2 pts

#18 Hervé Lacan 11 pts 1 pts

#18 Grégoire Monconduit 11 pts 1 pts

#18 Arnaud Bourge 11 pts 0 pts

---- Miss 1-1 11 pts 1 pts

#18 Adrien Bourge—Quéré 11 pts -1 pts

#18 Bertrand Wiel 11 pts 0 pts

#24 Gaëlle Quéré 10 pts 2 pts

---- Baseline 10 pts -1 pts

#24 Dominique Boscq 10 pts 1 pts

#24 Ulli Otto 10 pts 0 pts

#27 Mattis Gossman 9 pts 0 pts

#27 Jean-Michel Ginebre 9 pts 2 pts

#27 Sebastien Royon 9 pts -1 pts

#27 Romain Boucher 9 pts 2 pts

#27 Arnaud Soubien 9 pts -1 pts

#27 Anne Budynek 9 pts 3 pts

#27 Arnauld Prin 9 pts 3 pts

#34 Sebastian Giehring 7 pts 3 pts

#34 Franck Gaubert 7 pts 1 pts

#36 Enzo Morgese 6 pts 2 pts

Insights:
1. Antoine would be first if matches were 5 min shorter.
2. Antoine is the most unlucky guy of this game with 4 stupid points lost (but he's been on holidays until 21st, so he's lucky though)
3. Arnauld, Anne (la belle) and Sebastian are the lucky bastards with 3 stolen points!
4. PL players average lost points due to what happens during the last 5 minutes is 0.53 pt after 24 matches. Knowing our average result is 11,2 point for 90 minutes matches, we would all be under zero after the 196th minutes. Fortunately we don't bet on cricket.
5. If you're smart you've noticed there's only one guy left on the real top. Find him.

And oh, the 24th game is over. Happy half of stage 1!

Next simulation: what if we had played like in the good old times (3 pts for correct score), Julien, Greg Profit, sorry it's going to hurt.

2 comments:

  1. hi,

    what do you mean by 85 minutes and last 5 minutes ?
    For example, if there is 3 minutes for injury time what did you take into account : 85 minutes from the start or 93-5=88 minutes from the start ?
    thanks for your answer.
    Antoine S.

    ReplyDelete
  2. hey ! someone's interested.
    I mean 85 minutes sharp. All goals after 84:59 not taken into account.
    South Africa 1 1 Mexico
    Uruguay 0 0 France
    Korea Republic 2 0 Greece
    Argentina 1 0 Nigeria
    England 1 1 USA
    Algeria 0 1 Slovenia
    Serbia 0 0 Ghana
    Germany 4 0 Australia
    Netherlands 1 0 Denmark
    Japan 1 0 Cameroon
    Italy 1 1 Paraguay
    New Zealand 0 1 Slovakia
    Côte d'Ivoire 0 0 Portugal
    Brazil 2 0 Korea DPR
    Honduras 0 1 Chile
    Spain 0 1 Switzerland
    South Africa 0 2 Uruguay
    Argentina 4 1 Korea Republic
    Greece 2 1 Nigeria
    France 0 2 Mexico
    Germany 0 1 Serbia
    Slovenia 2 2 USA
    England 0 0 Algeria
    Netherlands 1 0 Japan

    ReplyDelete